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Poll suggests Theresa May could lose UK election

Staff Writer | May 31, 2017
UK Prime Minister Theresa May could be on course to lose the June 8 general election and the country faces a hung parliament, according to a seat projection poll.
Theresa May
Britain   The country faces a hung parliament
The constituency-by-constituency estimate for The Times newspaper by YouGov, published Wednesday, indicates the Conservative Party could lose 20 seats and see its majority wiped out, while Jeremy Corbyn's Labour may gain 28 seats.

The analysis is based on a complex model and suggests May's gamble of calling a snap election in the hope of a landslide win could backfire spectacularly.

YouGov's analysis puts the Tories on 310 seats, down from the 330 they went into the election with, and 16 short of a majority. Labour would get 257 seats, up from 229, the Liberal Democrats 10, up from the nine Tim Farron's party held when the election was called, the SNP 50, the Greens one and Plaid Cymru three.

But YouGov acknowledged that models could not produce estimates as accurate as a full-scale poll in each constituency. YouGov Chief Executive Stephan Shakespeare said the data could change dramatically between now and June 8.