U.S. initial jobless claims 1.4 millionChristian Fernsby ▼ | July 28, 2020
Respondents report that last quarter was the worst since the global financial crisis for sales, prices, and capital spending, according to a National Association for Business Economics (NABE) survey released Monday.
NABE U.S. unemployment
With the latest numbers on unemployment benefits, a staggering 52.7 million initial jobless claims have been filed over the past 18 weeks, indicating the mounting economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic.
The NABE survey also showed that one in three firms has resumed normal operations, but nearly as many respondents say they don't expect their firms to return to normal operations for more than six months.
NABE President and KPMG chief economist Constance Hunter noted that the July survey results reveal continued changes in business conditions, but with "marked improvements" in most indicators compared to the April survey.
"While most respondents in April expected inflation adjusted gross domestic product to contract from the first quarter of 2020 to the first quarter of 2021, two thirds of panelists in the current survey expect an expansion from the second quarter of 2020 to the second quarter of 2021," Hunter said.
The U.S. Commerce Department will release the advance estimate for gross domestic product (GDP) for the second quarter on Thursday. According to the latest projection from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, real GDP in the second quarter is expected to contract at an annualized rate of 34.3 percent. ■