Malaysia GDP to expand 5.5% in 2018Staff Writer | November 28, 2017
AmBank Group Research expects Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) to expand around 5.5% in 2018 largely from domestic activities with exports complementing.
Asia AmBank Group Research
Going forward, Dass said the challenge will likely come from external factors.
He said a sharp slowdown in China due to its huge debt to GDP and resulting in a financial crisis will have a knock-on effect in this region including Malaysia given its significant trade relationship.
Besides, he said the strong exposure to the US and a slowdown is poised to put some pressure on the Malaysian growth print.
“Interestingly, we noticed the economy tends to follow a 10-year cycle.
“After the trough in 1999 following the 1997/98 Asian financial crisis, the next trough was in 2009 from the impact of the global financial crisis. “From our assessment, we expect the next slowdown will likely be in 1Q2019 with a probability reading of around 10%,” said Dass. ■