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Good monsoon to push India's GDP growth to 8% in FY17

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Staff writer ▼ | June 20, 2016
Shaktikanta Das
Economy in Asia   India grew 7.6 percent

Economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta Das expressed hope that the likely passage of Goods and Services Tax (GST) bill in Parliament would further add to the business sentiment, fuelling growth.

"We will certainly exceed 7.6 percent growth. If the monsoon is good which we expect it will be because of the forecast and once the GST is passed, we can expect our GDP to touch 8 percent in the current fiscal," he told PTI in an interview.

In 2015-16, the country's economy grew 7.6 percent and the Economic Survey in February had projected a growth rate of 7-7.75 percent for the current fiscal while RBI had forecast 7.6 percent for the current fiscal.

He further said although the GST is likely to be rolled out from April 2017, its passage would significantly help in boosting sentiment and generating economic activity. "The moment GST is passed, the business environment will improve. This will give a huge boost to business sentiment and economy is all about real factors and sentiments.

So, the sentiment will turn strongly positive and then industry and business will also start the process of re- orienting their business for GST purpose. You will suddenly see a lot of spurt in activity," he added.

Earlier this month, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) had stated that there is no possibility of a "deficient" monsoon this year and 96 percent chances are that the rainfall would be "normal to excess".

But later, the IMD said the slow progress of the south-west monsoon has led to overall deficiency of rains by 22 percent from June 1-15.

Reports suggest that the country is building a supercomputer that will be used to predict Monsoon rainfall. The supplier of the supercomputer is yet to be known but it is expected that it will be 10x faster then than the current Indian supercomputer supplied by IBM.

Once the supercomputer is operational, it is expected to model the weather forecasts for 29 states in India using data from satellites, planes, and air-balloons.


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