Uncertain conditions for Australia to reflect on cattleStaff Writer | September 12, 2017
Uncertain seasonal conditions for Australia are expected to slow cattle herd rebuilding.
Australia Beef exports are forecast to increase
Beef exports are forecast to increase to 1.5 million MT in 2018 for this reason.
Pig slaughter is forecast to increase to 5.15 million in 2018, with pig meat production to reach 400,000 MT.
Exports are forecast to remain at 40,000 MT in 2018, with imports also stable at 230,000 MT.
Biosecurity provisions prevent US imports of fresh, chilled and bone-in pork.
Beef and veal production in 2018 is forecast to remain at this level, assuming average seasonal conditions.
For 2017, beef exports will be maintained at 1.5 million MT, slightly above the current forecast due to an increase in average carcass weights.
In 2018, beef exports are forecast to be maintained at 1.5 million MT for the same reason.
Live cattle exports in 2017 are estimated at 0.9 million head, and are forecast to remain at that level in 2018.
Hog numbers are expected to increase slightly from 2.3 million head in 2017 to reach 2.34 million head in 2018.
The total number of breeding sows is forecast to expand from 275,000 in 2017 to 280,000 in 2018.
Pig slaughter is estimated at 5.1 million head in 2017, slightly below the current estimate.
Then slaughter is forecast to rebound to 5.15 million in 2018.
For 2017, pig meat production is expected to increase to 395,000 MT, 2 percent above the previous year.
In 2018, Post forecasts pig meat production to reach 400,000 MT.
Pork exports and imports in 2017 are expected to remain stable at 40,000 and 230,000 MT, respectively.
No change in these trade levels is forecast in 2018.
Ostensibly due to biosecurity reasons, Australia bans imports of fresh, chilled or bone-in pork products.
With the objective of obtaining approval for imports of U.S fresh, chilled and bone-in pork, Post has requested a review of these specific non-tariff import barriers.
Over 70 percent of ham, bacon and other processed pork products consumed in Australia are made from imported frozen pork, which is heat-treated in government accredited facilities and used to make ham and bacon products. ■