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Scottish people not for union, not for independenceMonday 9 September 2013 08:55 CEST
A year before Scotland's referendum on independence, there are enough voters who are "don't knows" to swing the vote to either direction. Only 25% of them are certain to vote for separating from Britain.
The survey showed that 28% of respondents were uncertain about quitting the 300-year-old union, up 13 points from six months ago. The "yes" camp fell to 25 from 33%, the lowest level of support since polling on independence started in 2007. Support for an outright "no" was also down, at 47 from 52%, the TNS BMRB poll showed.
The numbers are coming after a series of warnings from British government figures this year on the potential negative economic impact of independence. Finance minister George Osborne said it would make Scotland 4% poorer over the next 30 years and over-dependent on volatile tax receipts from the oil and gas industry.
Scottish nationalists dispute that claim and argue that a fully independent Scottish parliament could attract investment through lower taxes and could utilise oil revenues more efficiently.
Lobby group Yes Scotland said the most significant figure in the latest survey of 1,017 Scots, conducted between August 21 and August 27, was the rising number of uncertain voters.
Among 16 to 34 year olds, 29% said they would vote for independence but only 45% were certain to vote, while 70% of the over-55s said they would vote but only 20% would support a split.
Younger voters were more inclined to support independence but also the least likely to vote, the poll found.
A YouGov survey this week showed 59% would vote against independence, an increase of four points on a similar poll 10 months ago, while one in 10 people were undecided.